Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 41 | 3-15 | 1-11 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 5-17 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 29 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 38 | 8-20 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 14-15 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter