Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | β (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -10 (133-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 37 | 16-23 | 6-11 | 7-9 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 45 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 29 | 9-14 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 18 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 9-19 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 11-20 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 29 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 26 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green | 29 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 21 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter