Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (129-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 11-26 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 23 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 11-24 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 34 | 9-19 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 26 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 32 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter