🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 ✗ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (121-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 39 5-15 1-6 1-2 5 5 1 1 12 - -
Coby White * 34 5-15 3-7 6-7 0 5 3 0 19 - -
Nikola Vučević * 32 10-17 2-4 2-2 5 3 0 2 24 - -
Josh Giddey * 23 3-4 1-2 4-4 9 8 2 1 11 - -
Patrick Williams * 21 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 2 6 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 24 6-12 1-6 2-6 3 2 2 0 15 - -
Lonzo Ball 23 2-9 2-8 2-2 6 7 1 1 8 - -
Jalen Smith 15 3-5 2-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Matas Buzelis 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Julian Phillips 11 4-5 1-1 1-1 0 0 1 1 10 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 37 11-24 2-4 8-9 5 9 1 2 32 - -
Gradey Dick * 32 9-20 3-9 6-7 6 2 0 0 27 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 30 6-10 1-5 2-4 3 0 0 1 15 - -
Jonathan Mogbo * 27 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 4 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 6 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 20 4-8 0-2 3-5 10 0 0 1 11 - -
Davion Mitchell 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 4 0 1 3 - -
Kelly Olynyk 13 2-6 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 0 7 - -
Jamal Shead 12 4-4 2-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 10 - -
Garrett Temple 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter