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2024-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% -
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% -
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 31 6-21 2-7 6-8 7 6 3 0 20 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 9-13 2-3 5-6 5 2 1 0 25 - -
Desmond Bane * 28 3-8 0-2 1-1 7 7 0 0 7 - -
Jaylen Wells * 17 3-8 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke * 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Marcus Smart 29 3-11 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Zach Edey 24 6-8 0-0 1-1 10 1 1 1 13 - -
Santi Aldama 19 1-8 0-3 4-4 3 0 1 1 6 - -
Luke Kennard 18 3-7 3-4 3-4 3 3 2 0 12 - -
Jake LaRavia 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Jay Huff 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 37 2-5 0-1 4-6 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Austin Reaves * 35 6-15 2-8 5-5 2 8 2 0 19 - -
LeBron James * 34 7-17 3-6 1-4 8 8 1 2 18 - -
Anthony Davis * 33 15-22 1-4 9-12 16 2 2 1 40 - -
Max Christie * 28 1-3 1-2 4-4 2 1 0 1 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell 17 2-7 2-6 1-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Cam Reddish 14 3-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 8 - -
Gabe Vincent 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 2 3 - -
Dalton Knecht 12 2-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Christian Koloko 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter