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2024-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% - ✓
Margin 62.2% 37.8% -2.7 ✓ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% - ✓
Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.1% 38.9% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (92-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rudy Gobert * 34 5-11 0-0 0-1 9 2 1 1 10 - -
Julius Randle * 28 4-11 0-1 3-4 4 3 2 1 11 - -
Anthony Edwards * 28 10-21 3-7 3-3 5 2 0 0 26 - -
Mike Conley * 27 3-9 3-5 0-0 5 8 1 1 9 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 4-10 2-2 2-2 11 1 4 0 12 - -
Naz Reid 26 1-10 0-4 1-1 8 3 0 1 3 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 6-15 2-8 3-3 3 3 2 0 17 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 20 3-7 1-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Rob Dillingham 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Minott 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
PJ Dozier 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 33 8-20 1-7 3-3 12 5 0 7 20 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 30 7-10 0-2 3-4 15 4 2 1 17 - -
Harrison Barnes * 30 6-10 4-7 1-2 1 2 0 0 17 - -
Chris Paul * 30 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 9 2 0 0 - -
Julian Champagnie * 29 4-14 3-12 0-0 6 1 2 0 11 - -
Devin Vassell 25 2-11 0-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Stephon Castle 23 1-8 0-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 - -
Charles Bassey 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Blake Wesley 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 4 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Malaki Branham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Sidy Cissoko 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter