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2024-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.4% 16.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 84.1% 15.9% - ✓
Margin 95.8% 4.2% -17.3 ✓ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 73.5% 26.5% - ✓
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 83.2% 16.8% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -14 (98-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 35 5-10 3-7 2-4 5 5 2 2 15 - -
Jayson Tatum * 34 12-26 2-9 2-2 12 2 0 0 28 - -
Jaylen Brown * 25 4-14 2-5 1-4 3 4 3 1 11 - -
Jrue Holiday * 23 4-7 1-3 3-4 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 11 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 36 5-12 5-10 0-0 11 6 0 0 15 - -
Sam Hauser 28 4-10 4-9 0-0 7 1 2 0 12 - -
Luke Kornet 26 1-3 0-0 5-8 11 4 0 1 7 - -
Neemias Queta 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Walsh 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carlton Carrington * 40 4-9 3-5 0-0 10 2 1 0 11 - -
Justin Champagnie * 39 5-11 1-5 2-2 14 3 3 2 13 - -
Bilal Coulibaly * 36 8-20 3-8 0-0 5 6 1 0 19 - -
Jordan Poole * 36 8-19 3-11 2-2 3 7 2 0 21 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 27 6-18 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 2 14 - -
Jared Butler 14 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Johnny Davis 13 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 2 5 - -
Anthony Gill 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Marvin Bagley III 11 1-5 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter