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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% - ✓
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% - ✓
Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.2% 75.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - ✓

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Miller * 37 8-21 3-15 2-2 6 3 1 1 21 - -
Josh Green * 30 3-11 1-5 2-2 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Miles Bridges * 24 5-16 0-6 4-4 9 4 0 1 14 - -
Vasilije Micić * 24 3-13 1-7 0-0 6 5 0 0 7 - -
Mark Williams * 17 6-7 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 1 15 - -
Cody Martin 25 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Tidjane Salaün 23 3-7 1-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Isaiah Wong 21 3-9 1-4 2-4 6 4 1 0 9 - -
Nick Richards 15 0-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 - -
Moussa Diabaté 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Seth Curry 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
KJ Simpson 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Taj Gibson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 33 4-11 1-4 4-5 4 3 3 0 13 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 8-12 3-6 0-0 3 5 1 1 19 - -
Coby White * 32 6-15 2-9 4-4 2 1 2 0 18 - -
Josh Giddey * 29 7-13 3-8 0-0 9 7 4 0 17 - -
Jalen Smith * 28 3-10 1-5 4-6 11 2 0 5 11 - -
Lonzo Ball 19 2-5 1-4 5-5 7 4 1 1 10 - -
Matas Buzelis 19 1-11 1-5 2-2 5 3 0 3 5 - -
Patrick Williams 13 1-7 0-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 - -
Julian Phillips 9 3-5 2-4 0-1 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Adama Sanogo 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter