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2024-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.1% 26.9% -
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (109-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 7-20 1-6 3-4 7 8 1 1 18 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 8-18 3-3 10-11 3 2 4 0 29 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 11-15 1-1 9-9 20 3 2 0 32 - -
Malik Monk * 34 2-11 1-5 0-0 3 9 1 1 5 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 7-14 3-7 1-1 9 0 0 0 18 - -
Kevin Huerter 27 2-10 1-8 2-2 3 1 3 0 7 - -
Keon Ellis 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 - -
Alex Len 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Jones 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Colby Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Orlando Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 39 6-13 3-9 6-7 4 0 1 0 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 14-24 6-11 2-2 3 3 0 0 36 - -
Herbert Jones * 35 3-10 1-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 7 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 8-19 2-7 2-2 7 9 1 2 20 - -
Yves Missi * 30 3-4 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 1 7 - -
Brandon Boston 25 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 1 9 - -
Jamal Cain 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 - -
Daniel Theis 14 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Antonio Reeves 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Trey Jemison III 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -

* = starter