Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +1 (91-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 30 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 36 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter