Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | β (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 40 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 27 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 22 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 15-23 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace * | 30 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 16 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ajay Mitchell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter