Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Dunn * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 27 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 25 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 21 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Bridges | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Ellis * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 26 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 23 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 20 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter