Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (125-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamison Battle * | 42 | 9-19 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 15-23 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Colin Castleton | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 10-14 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 18 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter