Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (30.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +35 (132-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 35 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 33 | 6-17 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Spencer * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens * | 35 | 14-25 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 30 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 27 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter