Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -15 (111-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 24 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 22 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 27 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 23 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 11 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 9 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| N'Faly Dante | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter