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2025-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - ✗
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 ✗ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.3% 55.7% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (140-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Sasser * 43 7-19 1-6 3-3 1 10 2 0 18 - -
Ronald Holland II * 22 2-4 1-2 0-1 0 1 1 1 5 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Tobias Harris * 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Jalen Duren * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Lindy Waters III 35 6-16 6-16 0-0 6 1 1 1 18 - -
Paul Reed 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 1 8 - -
Bobi Klintman 22 6-8 2-4 1-2 3 6 2 0 15 - -
Tolu Smith 22 6-9 0-0 2-3 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Malik Beasley 19 8-14 7-11 0-0 1 2 1 0 23 - -
Simone Fontecchio 19 5-9 4-7 1-1 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 17 1-8 0-6 2-2 7 2 0 0 4 - -
Daniss Jenkins 10 1-4 0-2 0-2 2 3 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamaree Bouyea * 47 5-10 1-4 4-6 3 7 2 2 15 - -
Pete Nance * 43 7-12 5-9 0-0 6 5 0 2 19 - -
Pat Connaughton * 43 16-29 5-12 6-9 11 5 2 0 43 - -
AJ Green * 18 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 12 8-10 5-7 1-1 2 2 0 0 22 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. 36 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Tyler Smith 29 6-9 4-6 4-4 4 0 1 1 20 - -
Chris Livingston 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Stanley Umude 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 - -

* = starter