Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (118-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Johnson * | 48 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bub Carrington * | 40 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie * | 39 | 11-16 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Alex Sarr * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyshawn George * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 42 | 9-18 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 38 | 9-12 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 40 | 17-25 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 21 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 19 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 34 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 28 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 27 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - |
* = starter