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2025-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -8 (118-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarace Walker * 31 5-13 1-5 0-0 8 5 2 0 11 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 14 4-7 1-2 1-1 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 14 1-8 1-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 - -
Obi Toppin * 12 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 7 - -
Myles Turner * 12 3-4 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 9 - -
Johnny Furphy 41 5-16 1-7 4-4 9 5 1 1 15 - -
Quenton Jackson 39 7-16 0-4 7-7 6 2 4 0 21 - -
Enrique Freeman 31 2-8 0-3 4-4 8 1 1 1 8 - -
RayJ Dennis 28 5-14 3-9 0-0 5 6 3 2 13 - -
Tony Bradley 27 6-13 0-0 2-4 14 1 0 5 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 17 3-6 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylon Tyson * 46 12-25 4-12 3-4 7 4 3 1 31 - -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin * 46 8-21 2-8 6-8 12 2 0 1 24 - -
Craig Porter Jr. * 42 7-19 4-9 2-4 5 5 0 2 20 - -
Javonte Green * 19 4-12 0-5 0-0 3 2 2 1 8 - -
Jarrett Allen * 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 42 1-4 0-0 1-6 20 1 1 2 3 - -
Emoni Bates 41 9-19 7-15 0-0 6 2 0 1 25 - -
Luke Travers 27 2-9 0-5 0-0 8 2 0 0 4 - -
Chuma Okeke 21 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 - -

* = starter