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2025-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - βœ“
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 βœ— (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - βœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Black * 36 7-16 3-5 3-4 10 2 3 1 20 - -
Tristan da Silva * 36 5-13 4-6 0-0 7 6 0 0 14 - -
Jonathan Isaac * 18 5-9 0-2 2-2 10 2 1 3 12 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 17 1-7 0-2 2-3 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 5 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 35 5-10 2-4 1-2 5 3 2 0 13 - -
Jett Howard 33 7-13 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 16 - -
Goga Bitadze 25 4-9 0-1 2-4 6 4 1 1 10 - -
Gary Harris 17 4-4 4-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Cole Anthony 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keaton Wallace * 37 7-20 1-7 0-0 11 15 5 0 15 - -
Dominick Barlow * 33 6-9 0-2 3-6 5 1 0 0 15 - -
Terance Mann * 29 9-14 0-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 9 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Mouhamed Gueye * 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -
Garrison Mathews 36 4-9 3-7 1-1 4 1 0 1 12 - -
Daeqwon Plowden 31 7-12 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 17 - -
Vít Krejčí 27 5-5 2-2 1-1 7 7 3 0 13 - -
Jacob Toppin 26 6-12 5-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 17 - -

* = starter