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2025-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - βœ—
Margin 67.0% 33.0% -3.9 βœ— (34.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - βœ—
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 53.8% 46.2% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +31 (140-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reed Sheppard * 41 5-14 4-8 0-0 3 5 2 1 14 - -
Cam Whitmore * 37 13-19 7-12 1-1 8 1 1 1 34 - -
Jock Landale * 24 3-5 1-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 8 - -
Jeff Green * 21 1-6 1-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 6 - -
Jalen Green * 14 3-10 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 7 - -
Nate Williams 26 5-12 1-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 12 - -
David Roddy 23 3-8 1-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 23 4-7 2-5 1-1 2 4 0 1 11 - -
N'Faly Dante 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Jack McVeigh 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 33 9-15 3-6 2-2 7 6 2 0 23 - -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 31 13-19 5-9 8-14 8 7 1 0 39 - -
Rui Hachimura * 31 6-8 1-2 3-4 5 1 0 0 16 - -
LeBron James * 22 6-11 1-4 1-1 4 8 1 0 14 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 11 3-3 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 30 6-9 6-8 0-0 0 0 3 0 18 - -
Jordan Goodwin 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 - -
Gabe Vincent 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 8 - -
Dalton Knecht 4 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Bronny James 4 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Trey Jemison III 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter