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2025-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% -
Margin 65.3% 34.7% -3.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -17 (86-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 29 4-11 2-6 0-0 7 3 2 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 29 1-6 1-5 0-0 7 5 4 1 3 - -
Jimmy Butler III * 28 6-10 1-2 11-11 5 7 2 0 24 - -
Stephen Curry * 27 6-14 2-8 0-0 5 5 0 1 14 - -
Moses Moody * 22 3-10 2-5 1-1 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield 22 6-14 4-10 0-0 4 0 0 1 16 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 16 2-7 0-2 6-8 5 0 1 1 10 - -
Kevon Looney 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 2 1 - -
Quinten Post 15 3-7 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 1 10 - -
Gary Payton II 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Gui Santos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Braxton Key 3 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Pat Spencer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Murray * 36 2-8 0-3 3-4 6 4 1 1 7 - -
Toumani Camara * 33 4-13 1-5 1-2 4 3 2 0 10 - -
Dalano Banton * 30 1-12 0-5 1-1 4 6 0 1 3 - -
Donovan Clingan * 27 7-13 0-3 0-1 15 1 0 1 14 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 22 3-6 2-5 3-4 4 0 3 2 11 - -
Rayan Rupert 24 6-12 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Sidy Cissoko 24 1-5 0-2 1-2 8 5 0 0 3 - -
Jabari Walker 20 6-10 2-3 5-6 6 1 2 0 19 - -
Justin Minaya 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Duop Reath 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter