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2025-04-12

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +19 (117-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephon Castle * 31 6-10 2-5 2-2 4 10 1 0 16 - -
Julian Champagnie * 29 8-16 6-9 1-1 5 2 0 0 23 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 6 - -
Harrison Barnes * 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Chris Paul * 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 - -
Blake Wesley 30 3-8 0-0 1-3 3 4 0 0 7 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 25 8-15 1-5 2-2 9 2 1 0 19 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 24 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 - -
Malaki Branham 22 6-17 2-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Harrison Ingram 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
David Duke Jr. 11 3-6 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 8 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Dunn * 33 10-21 4-11 2-2 11 1 1 0 26 - -
Oso Ighodaro * 32 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 4 6 - -
Grayson Allen * 28 5-9 3-6 2-2 6 6 1 0 15 - -
Devin Booker * 28 8-12 1-2 1-1 3 5 0 1 18 - -
Bradley Beal * 28 8-13 5-9 0-0 4 6 0 0 21 - -
Collin Gillespie 21 4-13 3-9 2-2 7 2 1 1 13 - -
Royce O'Neale 21 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Mason Plumlee 15 2-2 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 2 7 - -
Tyus Jones 15 2-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 6 - -
Cody Martin 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Damion Lee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Bridges 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter