Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 40 | 13-23 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter