Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✓ (42.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -49 (104-153). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el Ware * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 21 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 21 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 21 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 22 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 19 | 7-13 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 22 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kylor Kelley * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 34 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 34 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter