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2025-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% - ✓
Margin 6.0% 94.0% +15.1 ✓ (20.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.4% 74.6% - ✓
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 5.9% 94.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 14.0% 86.0% - ✓

Actual: Boston Celtics +36 (130-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
KJ Simpson * 33 5-16 1-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 11 - -
DaQuan Jeffries * 31 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 2 7 - -
Mark Williams * 24 5-12 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 1 10 - -
Josh Okogie * 21 3-10 2-6 2-4 5 2 1 1 10 - -
Nick Smith Jr. * 17 3-7 2-5 1-1 4 4 0 0 9 - -
Tidjane Salaün 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Damion Baugh 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 18 5-14 1-3 3-3 6 6 1 0 14 - -
Seth Curry 18 6-8 5-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 17 - -
Jaylen Sims 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 8-12 3-7 0-0 3 7 1 4 19 - -
Jayson Tatum * 31 6-17 3-10 1-1 8 8 0 0 16 - -
Al Horford * 27 5-10 3-6 0-0 11 0 1 1 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 25 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 18 2-11 2-7 5-6 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Sam Hauser 22 7-12 6-9 0-0 5 1 1 0 20 - -
Payton Pritchard 21 9-11 4-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 22 - -
Luke Kornet 17 3-5 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 4 3 0 2 - -
Neemias Queta 12 3-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 3 7 - -
Baylor Scheierman 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Drew Peterson 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
JD Davison 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Walsh 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter