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2025-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 ✗ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% - ✗

Actual: Indiana Pacers -14 (115-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan da Silva * 34 6-13 0-3 2-2 3 2 3 2 14 - -
Caleb Houstan * 29 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 2 3 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze * 22 3-5 0-1 5-6 7 3 1 2 11 - -
Gary Harris * 17 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Cory Joseph * 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Black 31 9-16 0-1 3-3 6 7 2 0 21 - -
Jett Howard 29 7-12 2-7 1-3 0 1 0 1 17 - -
Trevelin Queen 29 9-11 5-6 2-2 5 4 3 0 25 - -
Cole Anthony 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 3 7 - -
Jonathan Isaac 19 3-7 1-3 5-5 4 4 1 3 12 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 41 5-17 1-4 9-13 8 3 2 0 20 - -
Jarace Walker * 34 6-11 2-3 1-1 8 3 0 2 15 - -
Obi Toppin * 20 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 - -
T.J. McConnell * 20 4-7 0-0 4-6 1 3 1 1 12 - -
Thomas Bryant * 19 3-6 2-4 2-2 2 1 1 4 10 - -
Johnny Furphy 32 6-10 2-5 3-7 6 3 1 0 17 - -
Tony Bradley 24 5-10 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 10 - -
Quenton Jackson 19 3-7 3-5 4-6 1 3 0 0 13 - -
RayJ Dennis 16 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Enrique Freeman 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter