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2025-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - βœ—
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 βœ— (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - βœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (119-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 11-22 0-2 10-11 11 15 1 2 32 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 5-11 1-3 4-4 7 1 0 3 15 - -
Taurean Prince * 25 3-7 3-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 22 3-7 3-5 1-2 1 1 0 1 10 - -
Ryan Rollins * 17 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Bobby Portis 32 7-13 1-3 2-2 10 1 1 0 17 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 30 5-12 2-4 4-6 4 7 2 0 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 24 3-12 3-9 0-0 1 1 2 0 9 - -
AJ Green 24 3-5 3-5 0-0 6 0 0 1 9 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 38 5-9 0-0 1-6 16 5 0 1 11 - -
Cade Cunningham * 35 15-21 3-5 3-4 6 12 0 2 36 - -
Tobias Harris * 29 6-10 3-4 2-4 4 3 1 2 17 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 26 2-10 2-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Ausar Thompson * 26 4-9 0-2 3-4 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 27 5-10 2-3 0-0 3 8 0 0 12 - -
Malik Beasley 26 7-16 7-14 0-0 0 0 0 0 21 - -
Ronald Holland II 13 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Paul Reed 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 2 - -
Simone Fontecchio 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter