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2025-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 74.5% 25.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 ✓ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - ✗
Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -16 (125-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 37 13-19 7-11 11-13 5 3 1 1 44 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 5-5 0-0 3-4 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Julius Randle * 34 13-22 5-10 0-0 10 5 1 0 31 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Mike Conley * 26 2-7 0-4 4-4 2 9 1 1 8 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 24 3-8 2-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Naz Reid 23 4-13 1-5 5-5 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 21 3-5 3-5 0-0 0 4 1 1 9 - -
Jaylen Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Rob Dillingham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Josh Minott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Leonard Miller 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 38 11-18 6-10 0-0 6 9 1 1 28 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 37 8-18 4-7 3-3 1 1 2 0 23 - -
Ja Morant * 35 13-27 5-13 5-7 1 6 1 0 36 - -
Zach Edey * 29 2-4 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 1 7 - -
Vince Williams Jr. * 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 32 6-11 0-0 4-7 3 4 1 0 16 - -
Santi Aldama 29 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 - -
John Konchar 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Yuki Kawamura 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cam Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
GG Jackson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Marvin Bagley III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter