Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.8% | 29.2% | -4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (116-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett * | 31 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 16 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 43 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 8-26 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 37 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis * | 32 | 7-12 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Carter | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter