Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 13-23 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 26 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 24 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 18 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Bridges | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter