Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 35 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 38 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 16-17 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 12-24 | 5-14 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 26 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter