Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 13-26 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 35 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 40 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 36 | 9-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vučević * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Coby White * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Matas Buzelis * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dalen Terry | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Phillips | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter