Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | β (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (97-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 16-28 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 45 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naji Marshall * | 36 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 32 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 29 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 27 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter