Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +30 (126-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 37 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| KJ Simpson * | 32 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tidjane Salaün * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 25 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Sims | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damion Baugh | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 20 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 14 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 29 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 27 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cole Swider | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 8 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter