Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | ✓ (35.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -38 (95-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 25 | 9-17 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 22 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 9 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jackson Rowe | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 29 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 24 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 6 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter