Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | β (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | β |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (136-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 8-12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 24 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison III | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 36 | 14-26 | 5-9 | 9-11 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 19 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter