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2025-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 64.3% 35.7% -3.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 10-27 2-11 3-3 7 4 1 1 25 11 -
Julius Randle * 35 3-8 1-3 2-2 7 6 1 0 9 15 -
Rudy Gobert * 34 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 6 14 -
Jaden McDaniels * 30 6-12 0-3 1-1 5 3 0 1 13 10 -
Mike Conley * 27 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 6 -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 9-15 6-10 0-1 3 2 0 0 24 14 -
Naz Reid 26 7-12 3-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 17 13 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 15 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 4 -
Jaylen Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 9-15 1-2 4-11 13 10 1 1 23 33 -
Brook Lopez * 27 4-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 10 4 -
Kyle Kuzma * 24 4-8 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 10 6 -
Taurean Prince * 24 3-9 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 1 -
Ryan Rollins * 22 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 5 6 -
Bobby Portis 28 7-15 2-6 2-2 10 1 2 1 18 17 -
Gary Trent Jr. 25 2-8 2-6 1-1 2 4 0 0 7 5 -
Kevin Porter Jr. 25 6-9 0-2 9-9 4 5 5 0 21 26 -
AJ Green 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 8 -

* = starter