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2025-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% - βœ“
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 βœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% - βœ“

Actual: New York Knicks -2 (117-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 47 11-22 4-11 6-8 7 5 1 1 32 - -
Derrick White * 42 5-14 4-12 0-0 8 9 1 0 14 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 38 11-19 8-13 4-6 4 3 1 1 34 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 5-9 2-4 4-5 4 3 2 0 16 - -
Jaylen Brown * 21 2-8 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 29 3-6 0-3 2-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Sam Hauser 28 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Luke Kornet 18 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 47 5-14 0-4 0-1 11 7 3 0 10 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 42 14-21 1-3 5-7 14 2 1 1 34 - -
OG Anunoby * 41 5-13 0-5 3-6 8 1 2 2 13 - -
Jalen Brunson * 38 10-21 5-12 2-2 1 10 0 0 27 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 6-15 2-6 0-0 4 4 0 1 14 - -
Miles McBride 20 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Mitchell Robinson 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 4 - -
Cameron Payne 14 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 - -
Landry Shamet 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter