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2025-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% -
Points Off/Def 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (104-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bub Carrington * 43 5-19 2-9 1-3 4 4 0 1 13 - -
Justin Champagnie * 35 8-13 4-6 0-0 13 0 0 0 20 - -
Alex Sarr * 32 8-17 1-6 3-3 12 6 0 3 20 - -
Kyshawn George * 22 4-9 1-4 0-1 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Jordan Poole * 19 7-14 3-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 19 - -
Colby Jones 31 0-4 0-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 - -
JT Thor 25 2-6 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 3 7 - -
AJ Johnson 24 4-9 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Anthony Gill 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 35 4-13 1-7 5-8 11 1 0 5 14 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 11-19 1-1 1-1 10 3 2 0 24 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 31 1-7 0-2 2-2 7 4 1 0 4 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 5-11 3-7 9-11 1 6 1 0 22 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 28 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 26 5-12 1-5 6-7 4 2 0 0 17 - -
Obi Toppin 20 3-10 2-6 4-6 7 3 0 0 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Furphy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -
Jarace Walker 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Thomas Bryant 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter