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2025-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% -
Margin 73.5% 26.5% -5.6 (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.2% 35.8% -
Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.1% 18.9% -
Log Adjusted 81.2% 18.8% -
Points Off/Def 70.3% 29.7% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -24 (100-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Edey * 31 7-9 0-2 3-4 19 0 3 1 17 - -
Ja Morant * 27 10-21 4-10 4-4 5 8 0 1 28 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 26 3-10 1-6 7-7 5 1 2 0 14 - -
Desmond Bane * 25 6-11 3-5 4-4 5 3 0 0 19 - -
Jaylen Wells * 11 1-4 0-3 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 - -
Santi Aldama 25 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 23 3-6 2-3 2-3 1 2 1 1 10 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kennard 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Cam Spencer 7 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Jay Huff 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
GG Jackson 5 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Lamar Stevens 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Marvin Bagley III 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DaQuan Jeffries * 33 2-8 0-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 - -
Mark Williams * 31 4-11 0-1 0-0 7 2 1 1 8 - -
Miles Bridges * 30 4-13 2-6 4-4 6 3 0 1 14 - -
Josh Okogie * 18 4-7 2-5 2-4 2 1 0 0 12 - -
KJ Simpson * 15 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Tidjane Salaün 28 3-7 3-7 4-8 9 3 0 0 13 - -
Seth Curry 19 3-6 1-3 2-3 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Jaylen Sims 18 3-5 0-1 3-4 0 3 1 0 9 - -
Moussa Diabaté 16 5-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 14 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter