Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 39 | 10-18 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 14 | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 37 | 11-25 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 19 | - | |
| Adem Bona * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Jared Butler * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Marcus Bagley * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Jalen Hood-Schifino | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Colin Castleton | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Alex Reese | 6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kel'el Ware * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 15 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 25 | 7-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 14 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter