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2025-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Log Adjusted 39.7% 60.3% -
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 44 16-28 8-11 3-4 3 4 1 0 43 - -
Trey Lyles * 38 3-8 1-5 0-2 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Keon Ellis * 36 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 3 0 2 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 14-26 1-6 8-10 4 2 0 1 37 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 7-11 0-0 5-5 15 10 0 1 19 - -
Devin Carter 21 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 12 2-5 0-0 6-6 12 1 0 1 10 - -
Malik Monk 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Jones 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Doug McDermott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 34 6-15 4-11 3-3 0 2 0 0 19 - -
Dennis Schröder * 32 1-4 1-2 2-4 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Cade Cunningham * 32 13-21 1-4 8-11 3 5 2 0 35 - -
Ausar Thompson * 29 7-13 1-1 0-0 4 5 3 1 15 - -
Jalen Duren * 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 9 6 1 1 6 - -
Malik Beasley 29 5-15 4-14 0-2 1 2 0 0 14 - -
Isaiah Stewart 28 2-6 1-3 3-4 10 4 0 2 8 - -
Ronald Holland II 15 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Marcus Sasser 10 3-5 1-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Simone Fontecchio 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter