Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (120-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 26 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 20 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 14 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 39 | 18-33 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 12-16 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 10 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter