Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 30 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 22 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 1-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton * | 31 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 21 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter