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2025-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% - βœ—
Margin 7.4% 92.6% +13.9 βœ— (40.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 14.1% 85.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 20.8% 79.2% - βœ—

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -27 (99-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 37 11-20 5-11 3-4 7 6 2 0 30 - -
LeBron James * 34 9-16 1-1 0-0 3 7 1 0 19 - -
Austin Reaves * 33 7-15 4-8 2-2 2 3 1 1 20 - -
Rui Hachimura * 31 4-10 2-6 1-1 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 12 3-4 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 29 4-5 4-5 2-2 7 2 0 0 14 - -
Gabe Vincent 26 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 0-1 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Jordan Goodwin 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Dalton Knecht 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Bronny James 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Christian Koloko 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 30 12-23 2-5 0-0 3 9 1 1 26 - -
Jalen Williams * 28 4-14 1-4 7-8 6 3 3 0 16 - -
Luguentz Dort * 27 3-8 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Chet Holmgren * 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 24 4-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 8 - -
Cason Wallace 28 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Aaron Wiggins 20 1-6 0-3 2-4 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Joe 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 17 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 7 - -
Kenrich Williams 12 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 5 - -
Dillon Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter