Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | β (25.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | β |
Actual: LA Clippers +31 (135-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 33 | 1-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 27 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 10-13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 20 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 31 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 28 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 25 | 12-19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kris Dunn * | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Simmons | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan Miller | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cam Christie | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kobe Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter