Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (115-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 43 | 13-21 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins * | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 39 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 42 | 11-25 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson * | 39 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 34 | 8-18 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 39 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter