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2025-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - βœ—
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 βœ— (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - βœ—

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Wells * 38 1-8 1-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Desmond Bane * 38 15-23 4-7 4-4 7 3 0 0 38 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 35 9-23 1-6 8-11 11 2 1 0 27 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 29 5-10 2-3 3-4 6 3 1 2 15 - -
Zach Edey * 28 3-8 0-2 0-2 21 6 0 1 6 - -
Santi Aldama 23 3-6 0-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kennard 23 2-6 0-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 4 - -
GG Jackson 11 0-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cam Spencer 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 34 7-11 2-4 0-0 8 4 2 3 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 32 2-10 1-7 4-4 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Ausar Thompson * 31 7-9 0-1 4-6 11 5 1 1 18 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 29 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Cade Cunningham * 27 9-24 2-6 5-7 9 4 0 1 25 - -
Malik Beasley 33 4-16 3-12 0-0 3 0 1 0 11 - -
Simone Fontecchio 15 0-4 0-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 - -
Marcus Sasser 14 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Paul Reed 10 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Ronald Holland II 10 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 1 3 - -

* = starter