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2025-04-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - ✓
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 ✓ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - ✓
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.4% 79.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.4% 79.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (124-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jose Alvarado * 28 10-21 6-10 1-3 4 5 0 0 27 - -
Yves Missi * 27 5-8 0-0 3-5 11 2 1 1 13 - -
Bruce Brown * 26 0-5 0-1 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 - -
Keion Brooks Jr. * 25 4-9 0-4 1-2 4 1 2 0 9 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 22 4-8 0-1 4-6 3 2 0 1 12 - -
Jamal Cain 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 4 0 11 - -
Antonio Reeves 23 4-10 2-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Karlo Matković 20 6-7 1-2 2-2 6 2 1 0 15 - -
Elfrid Payton 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 12 1 0 2 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 18 2-3 2-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Lester Quinones 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 35 8-13 6-9 8-9 3 7 1 0 30 - -
Luka Dončić * 35 10-21 4-10 11-11 6 6 0 0 35 - -
LeBron James * 32 9-17 2-7 7-8 0 8 2 0 27 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 31 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 24 3-4 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 6 - -
Dalton Knecht 20 5-10 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Gabe Vincent 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Trey Jemison III 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter