Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | β (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 38 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 37 | 13-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 19 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko ΔanΔar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 35 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 13-24 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Braxton Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter